Source Structure Characterization and Seismic Hazard Assessment of Reservoir-Triggered Earthquakes: A Case Study of Song Tranh 2 Hydropower Reservoir, Vietnam
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Abstract
The Song Tranh 2 hydropower reservoir (ST2), located in Bac Tra My district, Quang Nam province (Vietnam) was impounded in November 2010 and soon after that earthquakes began to occur with the largest earthquake of M = 4.9 occurred on 15 November 2012. Seismic activity has not shown any signs of stopping, by the end of 2021 there have been 1161 events of M≥1.5 recorded. The identification of the generating source zones, the maximum of triggered earthquake and its impact on the safety of the ST2 dam is a necessary task. This paper presents a three-step process to determine the generating triggered seismic source: identifying the existence of subsurface faults, determining the generating triggered seismic source and studying the structure of the generating source segments. This information is used to assess seismic hazard by applying the OpenQuake program. The studied results have identified five source segments including: segment F1.1 (maximum observed earthquake - MOb.max = 4.2) belongs to Tra Bong River fault; F2.1 (MOb.max = 4.7) belongs to Tra My fault; F3.1 (MOb.max = 4.1) and F3.2 (MOb.max = 4.1) belong to Nuoc Le River fault; and F4.1 (MOb.max = 3.6) belongs to Tra No River fault. The assessment of pick ground acceleration (PGA) of triggered earthquake that has potentially impact on the ST2 dam conducted with two scenarios: 1) MOb.max at respective source segments and 2) Maximum credible triggered earthquake (MMax = 4.9) at all source segments. In the second scenario (MMax=4.9) will result in a value of PGA = 0.180g, PGV = 6.0cm/s and PGD = 1.30cm (at 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years) at the ST2 dam will not adversely affect dam safety as it is designed to resist earthquakes at acceleration of 0.245g (M5.5).
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